Here is my guess to Andrew's question after playing around with what if scenarios today. Andy is fortunate that Nadal is coming back from injury so he probably won't peak until 2 to 3 tournaments later (assuming that his injuries have healed fully!). Federer is now the GOAT and will become a father soon so his motivation will be somewhat lower as well. Djokovic has lost to Andy the last 3 times so things are looking good for a first GS win. I am really hoping that Andy will break through the psychological barrier and win a GS this year. I just realised today that Nadal has won at least 1 GS every year over the last 5 years.
USO : Winner ! = 2000
4 Master Series : 1W,2F,1SF (1000+2x600+360) = 2560
500 Series : Final = 300
Masters Cup : 2 RR Win, 1 SF Win = 200x2+400 = 800
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5660
Andy is defending 5200 points (1400+2x1000+450+250+500+600) so he will gain 460 points over this period and breaks through the 10,000 barrier for the first time
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