This is something useful for Las Vegas :
Points AM is defending this week - 0
1st round 5
2nd round 15
Next week Andy's 18th best point will be 10 from Indianapolis:
After this week he will have around 816 points and be ranked around 40, so here are the possibilities according to Andy's performance:
1st round No change in points, ranking may drop.
2nd round 816-10+15=821 points, rankings will remain same or rise by one place or so.
Quarters 816-10+40=846 points, rankings should rise to around 38
Semis 816-10+75=881 points, rankings should rise to around 35
Finals 816-10+120=926 points, rankings should rise to around 33
Winner 816-10+175=981 points, rankings should rise to around 30
So if Andy can reach the semis he may be seeded for Miami in three weeks time. Finals or a win sort of guarantees it.
I've just read that Andy will be ranked 39 next week though? and I didn't think your ranking could drop if you don't have any points to defend?
As it is, according to our calculations, Murray will move from 47 to 39, with Rusedski on 42 and Henman on 44.