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What will Andy's ranking be at the end of 2015?
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Murray's Ranking

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Well they can keep doing it, as long as they kick out Gasquet  Whistle
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Gasquet has a good shot to reach the finals and win it. 
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Hopefully Soderling and Youzny (spelt how?) will continue the good work, and chuck out the lower seeds like they did the higher seeds to get rid of Gasquet and Bagdathis in the quarters... please!
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Andy's ranking now only depends on his performance in San Jose.  Lose to Roddick, he drops to #15.  Lose in finals he drops to #14.  Win in finals, he remains at #13.
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Hmm, drop to #15 isn't so bad really, especially considering how much he can gain after that Think
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I think you have calculated wrongly!

If he loses to Roddick he will drop to 16th. Lose in the final its 15th and win 13th.
[ Last edit by scotsman75 February 17, 2007, 02:45 PM ] IP Logged
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I think you have calculated wrongly!

If he loses to Roddick he will drop to 16th. Lose in the final its 15th and win 13th.

You are correct.  I forgot about Djokovic.
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So, it comes down to the final.  Either Andy stays 40 points ahead of Djokovic at #13 or he falls 15 points behind Ferrer at #15.  Either way, the #13-#16 will be closely bunched together. Bagdahtis is closing the gap at #17, too.
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Not that it matters so much, but he'll be #3 in the race if he wins as well... lol
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After Memphis, where Andy is defending 60 points. Andy will only have 75 points to defend untill Wimbledon. OK, so most of the tournaments are on clay, but Andy should be able to make a considerable improvement on his ranking and possibly go into Wimbledon in the top 10!
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And they are not all on Clay - I have a very good feeling about Indian Wells...
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Andy stays at #13 next week  clap  well done

Looking ahead to the following week, if Andy wins Memphis, he picks up 190 points giving him a total of 1840. This means he can potentially pass Berdych (unless Berdych makes the semis).  He could also pass Haas who is defending his title at Memphis (unless Haas makes the semis).  Nalbandian is still out of reach.  Otherwise, the best Andy can do is to maintain at #13.

So, win Memphis: best result #11, worst result #13
otherwise, best result #13.

edit: if Andy wins Memphis, Djokovic can't pass him and niether can Ferrer, although if Ferrer wins Rotterdam he will have 1835 points.
[ Last edit by American Twist February 19, 2007, 03:05 AM ] IP Logged
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On the other hand, Andy can lose as many as 20 points if he fails to make the QF in Memphis.  That would give him a total of 1630 points.  In that case, both Djokovic and Ferrer can pass him.  If I am not mistaken Gasquet and Baghdatis are not playing  next week. 

So, worst case for Andy is #15. 

Best case #11; worst case #15.
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He has to bloody win Memphis to get only get #11, it sounds like such a small movement on the surface but really it's just 1 away from top10 !! Smile
[ Last edit by Mark February 19, 2007, 03:20 AM ] IP Logged
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I did a little more crunching.

Result:  Best/Worst
Winner  #11/#13
Final      #13/#14
Semi      #13/#14
Quarter #13/#15
second  #13/#15
first       #13/#15

My evaluation is that Ferrer has a tough road to the semis in Rotterdam, having to get past Nieminen first and then Berdych.  Djokovic has to get past Robredo to reach the semis.  So, the odds of Andy slipping to #15 are slim.   It appears that the most likely scenario is to remain at #13.  Just guesstimating, I would break down the odds like this

#11  5%
#12 10%
#13 50%
#14 25%
#15 10%

[ Last edit by American Twist February 19, 2007, 04:04 AM ] IP Logged
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