Oh ye of little faith, you are a glass half empty!
Didn't you know Lurking is really Boogers in disguise?
I think he always has a great chance at the Australian. Funnily enough, I have a strange feeling about the French for some reason. All of the pressure is off him and his performances have gradually been getting better and better. I think Wimbledon is his least likely because of the hype.
Im not sure that I believe all this Andy and Djokovic will be 1 & 2 that is going around. Rafa is clearly very tired and as much as it pains me to say it, Federer had a baron year without really putting a foot wrong. Im sure ill be crapping myself just as much as usual when Andy meets either in the semis.
It wouldn't surprise me either if the FO was the first Slam Andy won because, as you say, there's not so much expectation on him. I recall Federer saying that, referring to his own first Slam, one often comes when players least expect them.
Like you I can't see Andy winning Wimbledon until he has won another Slam first. In fact he may never win it and I think Rod Laver had a point when he said no British man would win Wimbledon until the media got off his back - and that is extremely unlikely to happen. Unfortunately there are no young British players of Andy's calibre coming through who might help to shift that burden of expectation.
I'm not under-estimating Federer either. I think he still has a Slam or two left in him. As for Nadal and Djokovic - well I wouldn't care to speculate how either will do given that both have wrecked their bodies. Nadal is apparently having more knee problems and Djokovic seems to have an on-going shoulder problem which could hamper him next season.