My heart says that Tim will win.
He has been in some really good form over the past few days. He is yet to lose a set in the tournament.
And this is a really good chance for him to work on his ranking.
At this moment he is on 570 points (he had 520, he gains 55 from here, 5 points drop from Basel) and a predicted ranking of around 70. A win vs Tursunov will take him to 615 points ( he had 520, he would gain 100 from here, 5 points drop from Basel) and a predicted ranking of around 65.
I have to go and study now.
Will be back for the match.