Sadly, I believe that Obama will be re-elected.
On a universal plain, he has been a monumental disaster. Within USA, he is not liked owing to his economic policies. If the Rebublicans had put up a strong candidate to oppose Hussein Obama, that person would have walked the election. However, Romney is not viewed with any comfort over Obama and therefore Obama should be the victor.
That's because most American people, and apparently you as well, are incapable of understanding that a president's economic policies are in fact worthless if Congress doesn't agree/pass them.
Obama has had two years with a Republican majority in the HoR and a slim Democratic majority in the Senate. Deadlocked. You never hear anyone blaming their Congress for ******* up the country, though. Most people don't even know who their Congresspeople are.
Also this Hurricane is going to affect a lot of people in terms of voting if places are flooded, people can't get out and about/are too busy trying to figure out how to salvage what's left of their property. In addition, overseas absentee ballots may not make it on time (including mine).