I still feel Berdy would challenge him but at the end of it, Rafa will be able to win it...
Their H2H also seems to be in Rafa's favour--12-3. And those 3 wins for Berdych came during 2005 and 2006.
Yeah I agree with you - Berdych's capable of playing well against Rafa and will often take a set, but in the end Rafa's the one who wins because he's more consistent and defends so well. Berdych's often low first serve percentage doesn't help him out either. Rafa's beaten him on all surfaces now so I think he'd have won here too.
Ferrer/Berdych will be interesting today. I'd put Ferrer as a narrow favourite for this match (probably in 4 sets) as he usually handles the big hitters well and is less likely to have the lapses in concentration that Berdych has. Berdych is likely to be tired after playing over 7 hours over the last 2 days. But he could well play inspired tennis and win in front of his home crowd.