Slight chance of Shanghai but would need to win in Paris.
I thought he just had to make the final?
EDIT: (-51) Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (FRA): PARIS - must reach the final
...if Simon or Ferrer reach QF, he must win the title.
Blake v Tsonga in the semi's decides who goes I think.... Blake is 20 race points ahead, so a final for Tsonga is 70 points and a QF for blake is 25, a semi 45. So Final would be enough.
Unless it's Nalbandian he's playing in the final, in which case, winner goes through.