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Poll
Question: How well will Murray do at the Australian Open?
Winner - 6 (50%)
Finalist - 6 (50%)
Semi-Finalist - 0 (0%)
Quarters - 0 (0%)
Worse - 0 (0%)
Total Voters: 12

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Author Topic: Ranking next week...  (Read 83400 times)
mackym
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Posts: 874
Re: Ranking next week... « Reply #1815 on: March 20, 2008, 01:18:46 PM »
But then it's points all the way to the US Open. Unless he hurts himself again, or plays utter crap week in week out, it's hard to image he won't make top 10 by then.
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Seany-Bhoy
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Re: Ranking next week... « Reply #1816 on: March 20, 2008, 01:20:47 PM »
Did Murray losing last night, mean he is seeded 13th come Miami.  therefore he could play seeds 1-4 in R4?  Is that right? Great, that will really help him
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mackym
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Posts: 874
Re: Ranking next week... « Reply #1817 on: March 20, 2008, 01:48:44 PM »
At least he plays better against 2 of those guys.
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Seany-Bhoy
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Re: Ranking next week... « Reply #1818 on: March 20, 2008, 02:29:56 PM »
But the way he played against fed, he hasnt played like that since nor even this year and got beaten easily by davydenko, and he has yet to beat nadal or djoko.  I just think the way he is playing, R4 is the furthest he will go in Miami.  Nalbandian might even end up 4th seed.  It just gets harder
[ Last edit by Seany-Bhoy March 20, 2008, 02:31:32 PM ] Logged
Yamor
Seed
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Gender: Male
Re: Ranking next week... « Reply #1819 on: March 20, 2008, 03:45:34 PM »
Yes, he'll definitely play a top 4 player in the fourth round, unless one of the top 12 players withdraws. It is not possible for the current top 4 to change. That is, Nalbandian cannot reach 4th even if he wins this tourney.
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ljsmall
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It's a Murray Duck!
Re: Ranking next week... « Reply #1820 on: March 20, 2008, 05:44:40 PM »
I thought the results of this week didn't effect next weeks seeding cause they were decided before Monday?
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Josh
ATP Level
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Location: Amersham, Bucks


.....
Re: Ranking next week... « Reply #1821 on: March 20, 2008, 06:31:34 PM »
No, the rankings update on Monday and Miami draw is Tuesday or Wednesday so he will be 13th seed.
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Yamor
Seed
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Gender: Male
Re: Ranking next week... « Reply #1822 on: March 20, 2008, 06:42:22 PM »
I haven't done the calculations yet, but it looks quite bad this week. Even if he reaches the R16, he'll probably fall out of the top 20. He also probably won't be seeded for at least the first clay masters series.
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ljsmall
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It's a Murray Duck!
Re: Ranking next week... « Reply #1823 on: March 20, 2008, 09:47:24 PM »
But he's gonna win. So it's ok. lol
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Yamor
Seed
****
Posts: 3,709

Gender: Male
Re: Ranking next week... « Reply #1824 on: March 21, 2008, 12:12:41 PM »
I've just been working out how radically Miami could affect Andy's ranking:

1) Its possible the player ranked 39 (in the coming weeks ranking) could catch up Andy!

2) The lowest Andy could fall is 28th, but he probably won't fall lower then 22nd even if he withdraws from the event completely.

3) The highest he could possibly rise is to 9th, but if he wins he probably would be 10th.

4) If I'd have to take a guess at his ranking after Miami, I'd say probably 22nd. I'm assuming he'll reach the R16.
[ Last edit by Yamor March 21, 2008, 12:45:02 PM ] Logged
ljsmall
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It's a Murray Duck!
Re: Ranking next week... « Reply #1825 on: March 21, 2008, 12:18:57 PM »
I really really hope he goes further than that. What'll he need to stay top 16? Defend his points? Or would a QF do it?
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Yamor
Seed
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Posts: 3,709

Gender: Male
Re: Ranking next week... « Reply #1826 on: March 21, 2008, 12:34:41 PM »
This is what I would predict:
if he reaches the R16, 22nd
if he reaches the QF, 20th
if he reaches the SF, 13th

all the predictions are based on all players reaching where they'll be seeded to reach.
I'll make in the next couple of days a proper analysis, but at the moment there are players still involved in this weeks tourneys, so I won't just yet.
[ Last edit by Yamor March 21, 2008, 12:46:30 PM ] Logged
ljsmall
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It's a Murray Duck!
Re: Ranking next week... « Reply #1827 on: March 21, 2008, 12:42:41 PM »
That makes sense. Too much guesswork when it's like that. So he really needs to defend his points. I'm sure he knows that. He said at least once in his last interview that this week'd be big for him.
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Yamor
Seed
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Posts: 3,709

Gender: Male
Re: Ranking next week... « Reply #1828 on: March 23, 2008, 04:16:23 AM »
Andy should be ranked 13th come Monday.


Possibilities for the rankings after Miami:

If Andy withdraws, loses in the R64, or loses in the R32:
Possibilities: 22-27
Probable: 22

If Andy loses in the R16:
Possibilities: 20-26
Probable: 22

If Andy loses in the QF:
Possibilities: 14-25
Probable: 20

If Andy loses in the SF:
Possibilities: 11-21
Probable: 13

If Andy loses in the F:
Possibilities: 11-14
Probable: 11

If Andy wins the tournament:
Possibilities: 9-12
Probable: 10
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scotsman75
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Re: Ranking next week... « Reply #1829 on: March 23, 2008, 11:49:44 AM »
Bloody hell! Lets just get throught his next fortnight, then it can only be good news until US Open!
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