I see Martina Navratolova agrees with my assessment that Andy has no chance of winning Wimbledon this year (even McEnroe thinks the gap is widening between the top 3 and the rest). She evens says Henman had a better chance than Andy because Tim had less competition. I hope Andy is reading these comments from top former pros and I hope it makes him extra-motivated. Come on Andy, surprise them all!
Your assessment, BigNose is simply based on what Andy has done so far. He's made three semi finals at Wimbledon, so you predict he'd make yet another semi here and wouldn't go beyond that. And I am sure next year before AO, you'd say the best Andy could do here is to make yet another final at best and that's it. And since he hasn't won any Slams yet, it's easy to predict that he wouldn't win any this year either. And if things were to change this year, then I am sure you would change your prediction as well, so I am not seeing anything outstanding about it, really.
And if you take Navratilova's prediction then I should let you know that there are others who believe Andy would win a Slam this year. Samrpas, Brad, Mary Jo to name a few. Why should anyone take Navratilova's prediction so seriously? If anything, she's simply stating what has happened so far - like you.
And why surprise them, really? Don't you think, you would be the most surprised? I bet.