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Andy will not get back to No 2 untill he does better at GS level

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Its is Interesting to note the breakdown of Where the top 5 get their wins the result shows that Perhaps Andy has got it wrong.   I was before this exercise one who thought that doing well in any tournament would be good enough the figures speak for themselves
Nadal’s Figures are misleading and in previous years his GS percentage was nearer the 50%
Note Figure may not add up to 100% as rounded up

Note Headings are Tournaments Played then Left to Right % points earned at GS then 1000 Series then Other Levels

I cannot get my table to paste properly sorry

Federer   18   56.86   35.98   7.14
Nadal   17   32.79   56.76   10.45
Murray   19   17.16   56.73   26.81
Djokovic   21   20.87   45.65   25.65
Del Potro   22   47.67   31.88   20.44


Conclusion
Andy has consistently been the highest achiever points wise in the other Category 3rd Tier Tournaments and that is Great,  he also has this year been  2nd highest points scorer in the 1000 series but he will not become a long term Top 2 or even World No 1 until he starts winning a lot more points at Grand slam.  

* WHere andy has it wrong.doc (29.5 KB - downloaded 167 times.)
[ Last edit by joanne October 09, 2009, 01:48 pm ] IP Logged
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Good post Joanne.

I think this has been mentioned before in other posts but here are my thoughts :

- In MS and ATP where matches are one right after another with no day break in between for the later rounds, Andy superior fitness can definitely run the opponent down and win him tournaments

- Unfortunately, at GS where there is a day rest in between for Andy opponents to recharge their batteries, Andy's wait for the opponent to make the mistake style will give them good chance to play inspired tennis over a 5 sets match and beat Andy (e.g. Verdasco at AO,  Gonzalez at FO, Roddick in Wimbledon, Cilic at USO).

Andy will need to modify his strategy to become more agressive generally and take time away from his opponents and prevent them from dictating the game.  I think it is fine to keep to long rallies as long as it means wearing the opponent down, running them ragged left and right, but it is a risky strategy to let the opponent takes too much initiative.  

The problem is that once you are on the backfoot, there is always the risk of the opponent coming into the net and finish the point off quickly or play the drop shot.  This means that Andy has to make a very good shot to push the opponent back or to pass them which increases the chance for an error.   I think it is better when the opportunity is there for Andy to up the agression 'a little' to push the opponent back (not necessarily go for winners) and keep them running like rabbits.  Once they are tired, they will more likely make mistakes.  This will increase the risk of Andy making a mistake slightly but is a good trade off I believe.

By the way, I am talking here about changing the strategy against the top end players.  Against the lower ranked players who keep making mistakes then Andy present style is perfectly fine.

- Andy needs to manage his diet and training more carefully during GSs.  Andy lacked energy in his 3rd round USO match because he did not eat correctly.  In his 4th round match,  he could not find the inspiration to beat Cilic.  McEnroe intimated that the tiring training pre and during the USO will have tired Andy out preventing him from peaking at the GS.  Maybe someone in his team will need to attend to these matters.

- Something else is bothering me. How did Andy injure his wrist at the USO ? I hope not by doing anything silly.

These are just my thoughts.  I would be delighted to be proven wrong by Andy and his team when he lifts the first GS next year.
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