'doom and gloom'??!!
50 million + dead does rather darken the mood.
Sorry to have touched a nerve. My 'doom and gloom' comment was related to the views at the time that Spanish Flu would never be controlled. It was. I do believe that it is too easy to panic. Until we all know more on treatments and vaccine development successes then that route is too easy?
Back on Influenza A which I mentioned, since the 1918-19 outbreak of that subtype known as Spanish Flu, it has generally been contained. It was over in a year.
The same applied for the pandemic that was a new subtype in 2009.
After that date there have been many small outbreaks of H1N1 strains of Influenza A in an area bordering the Mediterranean. Luckily none of those spread much. The worst was in Iran (now also suffering badly with this latest pandemic when 56 died in 2019.
That , compared to these Influenza events, the infections and deaths for Copid-19 are relatively small can be considered indicative what we might expect as the outcome for this pandemic. I think that we can be more positive as a result. There is one obvious downside currently. Since 1918 we have gradually moved to an 'open global society' so large areas of the world are, or will be, infected so the spread will be far greater.
It is worth considering that the worst spread of illness in the UK since the Black Death (Plague) was the Spanish flu with only 250,000 deaths here including those who died of other conditions as a result. Half of those who died were in the latter group. This from projections is not expected to be as bad. I agree with that from just simple mathematical analysis.