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16  General Community / Andy Talk / Murray vs Srichaphan ** [Official Topic] ** on: September 30, 2005, 09:52 pm
Relying on Andy's serve is not usually a good idea.

45% of first serves in play is about par for Andy. Above 50% is good and I seem to recall him once getting 61%.

Anyway, I shall make an effort to watch this match. Not been able to watch any tennis this week.

Both players will be motivated to win.

This is the sort of breakthrough tournament I've been expecting since Wimbledon. I was starting to wonder whether it was the grass or the home crowd that helped to produce his success. Surprised it didn't happen at Indianapolis but Andy contrived to lose to an out of form, unfit Mardy Fish.
17  General Community / Andy Talk / Excellent draw at Thai Open on: September 24, 2005, 09:33 pm
Indoor hardcourt according to the ATP website. That's the limit of my knowledge I'm afraid.

Does Soderling play serve volley?

I suspect I have seen him playing this style but it might have been a grass court match so I wondered if anyone knows what his natural game is?

His best results appear to come on faster surfaces.

George Bastl tends to play serve volley. And from what I've seen Andy quite likes playing opponents who use that style.
18  General Community / Andy Talk / Lessons to learn! on: September 24, 2005, 09:28 pm
Regarding Andy's apparent lack of motivation, I suspect he has been trying to keep his emotions undercontrol.

I read somewhere that team Murray felt his displays of emotion had been over the top at Wimbledon. Over the course of a long match a lot of energy can be wasted so a change was needed. Perhaps the new approach makes it look as though he lacks motivation.

I must admit I didn't see anything that suggested to me that he lacked motivation. But the Murray/Dent match at Cincinnati was incredibly low key and barely recognisable from the Andy we saw during the grass court season.

Also worth remembering that Andy imploded at the juniors at Roland Garros earlier this year and in the Dupuis match at Rhode Island. In both cases his temper cost him any chance of winning the match. So it is possible for him to get too motivated.
19  General Community / Andy Talk / Lessons to learn! on: September 24, 2005, 05:10 pm
At the start of this year Andy's previous coach set a target of top 50 by the end of the year, and top 100 by the time of Roland Garros.

Poor form and injury problems meant that Andy made no progress in the first 5 months of the year. His ranking going into Queens was only just inside 400.

Andy is likely to finish the year around 70 - 80 in the world. Not that far short of the original, and perhaps wildly unrealistic, target.

So by that scorecard he is doing ok.

Sure, there are some fairly clear weaknesses that are costing him matches - the much commented upon fitness issue and his first serve percentage. If those two can be resolved I would imagine that Andy will be inside the top 30 by the end of next year.

As for coaches and coaching: the top coaches in the game are thought to be Brad Gilbert, Annacone, Stefanki, Cahill and a few others I'm struggling to remember. The common factor is that they were modest players who suceeded through out-thinking their opponents. I have never met Mark Petchey but from listening to his analysis on Sky he sounds like he knows the game. John McEnroe never offered to be Andy's full time coach, rather he offered a few coaching sessions and Andy has indeed made use of this offer at the US Open.

I think David is right in the sense that tennis is a very tough sport when you get to the highest levels. Andy would appear to have the talent, but it takes a lot more than that to succeed.

Next year will be interesting.
20  Pages / Archive: News / Murray faces Swiss number two on: September 23, 2005, 05:08 pm
Match Analysis

Win the key points and you win the match - it's one of those cliches that gets quoted again and again. But how else can you explain a match that finished 108 - 105 points?

At the crucial times, Wawrinka found a big serve, often kicked out wide, opening up the court so he could hit into the space or wrong foot Andy as he tried to recover. In constrast, Andy simply failed to get his first serve in play. Too often he was left defending second serves and the pressure eventually told. There were none of the huge aces that saved key points against Pavel and Clement. Only 4 aces for Murray and 2 double faults compared to 11 aces for his opponent.

A strange start to the match as Wawrinka raced into a 5-1 lead then got nervous before taking it 6-3. Andy had the edge in the 2nd but failed to win any of his 3 break point chances and then wasted a 3-0 lead in the tiebreak (2 points against serve) and then a 5-3 lead, losing the last 4 points to make it 5-7. Those last 4 points highlighting the difference between the players - 2 unreturnable first serves from Wawrinka, 2 missed first serves from Murray.

Andy broke to lead 2-0, dominating the early stages of the third set, only to lose his form and the match as Wawrinka pressed for victory towards the later stages of the set.

Compared to other recent displays Andy played reasonably. His drop shot worked beautifully at times, and there were plenty of big groundstrokes from both wings. However, his return was less effective, especially returning first serve.

Andy won a higher percentage on first serve (73% - 68%), he won a higher percentage on second serve (56% - 51%). But 42% first serves in play was never going to be enough when his opponent was serving 68%.

Wawrinka was a worthy winner.
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